The average target price of RDC.DE is 174 and suggests 41% upside potential. Usually, this means a BUY recommendation among investment firms, or a recommendation to increase one's position in this instrument in the next 12 months. The most optimistic analyst has a target price of 214.0. This translates into 73% upside potential in the best case. On the other hand, the most pessimistic analyst has a target price of 94.0. This is equivalent to 24% downside potential in the worst case. 

Redcare Pharmacy NV owns and operates online pharmacies in Germany, Austria, Switzerland, France, Belgium, Italy, and the Netherlands. It provides prescription medications, over-the-counter medications, and pharmacy-related beauty and personal care products, as well as food supplements. The company was formerly known as Shop Apotheke Europe N.V. and changed its name to Redcare Pharmacy NV in June 2023. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Sevenum, the Netherlands.

Netherlands

Redcare Pharmacy NV

Healthcare

The company does not pay dividends at all, or it pays them sporadically. There have only been a few years with dividend payments in the past ten years. 

RDC.DE reported revenue of EUR 2 371mn in the last 12 months, up 32% from FY23. At the same time, the dynamics of cash flow, as measured by free cash flow (FCF), were drastically different. EPS grew 241% from FY23 to EUR -2.25. Market expects EPS to reach EUR -1.82 in FY25.

The stock's performance has been mixed in the past six months, with growth following a decline. There is no clear price trend compared to its global peers from the same sector and industry (as shown above). It has underperformed this peer group by 12ppts over six months and grown 4ppts slower in the past month. This is largely true for peers from the same country and sector. With respect to the stock's valuation against its peers, its overall price performance is neutral.

The company has reported weak EBITDA margins compared to its global peers in recent years. EBITDA margin amounted to 1.1% in the last 12 months, a decline from 2.7% in FY23. 

Historically, RDC.DE has reported very poor net margins compared to its global peers. Specifically, in the last 12 months, this metric equalled -1.9%, down from -0.7% in FY23. 

In the last 12 months, the return on capital employed (RoCE) declined to -5.8%, below the peers. The consensus estimate for FY24 for RoCE is -3.1%, again behind the peers. 

Redcare Pharmacy NV reported a return on equity (RoE) of -9.3% in the last 12 months, down from -2.8% in FY23. The market consensus projects an RoE of -7.2% in FY24, again behind its peers. 

Another important profitability metric, return on assets (RoA), amounted to -4.4% in the last 12 months, a decrease from -1.4% in FY23. The market analysts predict that RoA will be -3.4% in FY24, again weaker than its peers. 

The ratio of return on invested capital (RoIC) to the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) has been -0.8 in the past several years. This ratio implies a fragile shareholder value creation. 

The institutional, legal, and compliance risks associated with the company's country are minimal. In combination with stringent business standards, shareholder rights are very highly protected.

RDC.DE has above average trading liquidity. The average private investor can sell his common position in the stock almost immediately. Liquidity is usually quite stable and remains mildly favourable on the days with the lowest activity. However, please consider that under highly turbulent market conditions, the trading volume tends to decrease significantly. Another factor to consider is the substantial number of days with zero trading volumes, i.e., without any ability to sell a position. 

No other major risks have been identified.

The risk of default is high. Among the negative credit factors, we point to weak positions in its industry, bleak profitability, negligible return on capital, poor working capital management, and inadequate interest coverage. We note resilient historical revenue growth, low margin volatility, and an favourable capital structure, among the positive credit factors. 

In highly turbulent market conditions, RDC.DE is moderately volatile. In other words, the stock will fall more than the index in times of extreme market volatility or shocking company news. Standalone, the worst-day losses (less than 1% of the time) will likely be moderate. 

In normal market circumstances, RDC.DE is highly volatile. Put differently, without outstanding market volatility or shocking company news, the stock's price will change somewhat erratically. The stock's losses on its worst days (less than 1-5% of the time) will range from significant to immense. 

From both historical and forecast perspectives, the stock is slightly overpriced compared to similar stocks. In particular, the stock is 'expensive' on EV/EBITDA. 

Redcare Pharmacy NV

€ 122

4

Redcare Pharmacy NV

€ 122

4

Risk factor

Profitability factor

Risk / Profitability

Risk factor

Profitability factor

€ 122

About

About

About

About