The average target price of 186A.T is 1306 and suggests 77% upside potential. Usually, this means a BUY recommendation among investment firms, or a recommendation to increase one's position in this instrument in the next 12 months. The most optimistic analyst has a target price of 1400.0. This translates into 89% upside potential in the best case. On the other hand, the most pessimistic analyst has a target price of 1200.0. This suggests 62% upside potential. Even the most pessimistic analyst believes there will be stock growth. 

Astroscale Holdings Inc. provides on-orbit service solutions. The company offers end of life solution for prepared removal of commercial LEO satellites; active debris removal for unprepared removal of large debris; life extension in geostationary orbit; and space situational awareness for object inspection of orbits. It also designs and develops the lunar dream capsule which gives people a chance to send their names into space. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Sumida, Japan.

Japan

ASTROSCALE HOLDINGS INC

Industrials

The company does not pay dividends at all, or it pays them sporadically. There have only been a few years with dividend payments in the past ten years. 

Over the past six months, the stock has consistently climbed, resulting in 14% total increase. The stock's price trend wasn't definitive when matched against its global counterparts from the same sector and industry (as depicted above). Within the past six months, its performance has trailed this peer group's by 18ppts and its growth accelerated by 2ppts in the past month. This is equally valid for peers from the same country and industry. Given the stock's valuation versus its peers, its total price movement is neither favourable nor unfavourable.

The company has reported very poor EBITDA margins compared to its global peers in recent years. EBITDA margin amounted to -757.7% in the last 12 months, a decline from -357.2% in FY23. 

Historically, 186A.T has reported very poor net margins compared to its global peers. Specifically, in the last 12 months, this metric equalled -835.0%, down from -366.0% in FY23. 

ASTROSCALE HOLDINGS INC reported a return on equity (RoE) of -207.0% in the last 12 months, up from -207.9% in FY24. 

Another important profitability metric, return on assets (RoA), amounted to -54.9% in the last 12 months, an increase from -65.3% in FY24. 

In the last 12 months, the return on capital employed (RoCE) grew to -90.4%, below the peers. 

The ratio of return on invested capital (RoIC) to the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) has been -15.3 in the past several years. This ratio implies a fragile shareholder value creation. 

The institutional, legal, and compliance risks associated with the company's country are minimal. In combination with stringent business standards, shareholder rights are very highly protected.

186A.T has above average trading liquidity. The average private investor can sell his common position in the stock almost immediately. Liquidity is usually stable and remains extremely favourable on the days with the lowest activity. However, please consider that under highly turbulent market conditions, the trading volume tends to decrease significantly. The stock has a small market capitalisation, which usually makes its trading liquidity erratic and unpredictable. 

No other major risks have been identified.

The risk of default is high. Among the negative credit factors, we point to weak positions in its industry, bleak profitability, negligible return on capital, poor working capital management, inadequate interest coverage, poor cash flow generation, and an unfavourable capital structure. We note resilient historical revenue growth and low margin volatility, among the positive credit factors. 

In highly turbulent market conditions, 186A.T is exceptionally volatile. In other words, the stock will be among the worst-performers in times of extreme market volatility or shocking company news. Standalone, the worst-day losses (less than 1% of the time) will likely be critical. 

In normal market circumstances, 186A.T is exceptionally volatile. Put differently, without outstanding market volatility or shocking company news, the stock's price will change quite unpredictably. The stock's losses on its worst days (less than 1-5% of the time) will range from critical to immense. 

Based on key historical and expected multiples, the stock is greatly overvalued relative to its peers. 

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ASTROSCALE HOLDINGS INC

¥ 738

2

ASTROSCALE HOLDINGS INC

¥ 738

2

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¥ 738

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