Risk factor
Very high price volatility
Profitability factor
Greatly undervalued vs peers
About
The Federal National Mortgage Association, commonly known as Fannie Mae, was established in 1938 and has its headquarters in Washington, D.C. Its fundamental purpose is to facilitate the flow of capital in the United States mortgage market, ensuring a consistent source of financing for home loans. Fannie Mae achieves this by transforming mortgage loans originated by various lenders into standardized investment products called Fannie Mae mortgage-backed securities (MBS). The organization operates through two distinct primary segments: 1. Single-Family Segment: This division is responsible for acquiring and securitizing a wide range of residential mortgage loans. These include conventional first-lien mortgages (both fixed and adjustable-rate), loans guaranteed by government agencies like the Federal Housing Administration (FHA), Department of Veterans Affairs (VA), and the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Rural Development Housing and Community Facilities Program, as well as manufactured housing loans and other related mortgage securities. Additionally, this segment provides mortgage servicing and comprehensive credit risk and loss management services for single-family properties. 2. Multifamily Segment: Focusing on properties with multiple dwelling units, this segment securitizes and purchases multifamily mortgage loans, converting them into Fannie Mae MBS. It also plays a role in public finance by offering credit enhancements for bonds issued by state and local housing authorities to support multifamily housing initiatives. Its activities further include issuing structured MBS backed by existing Fannie Mae multifamily MBS, trading multifamily agency mortgage-backed securities, and making investments in low-income housing tax credit (LIHTC) projects. Services provided by this segment encompass delegated underwriting, servicing, and robust credit risk and loss management for multifamily mortgages. Fannie Mae serves a diverse array of financial partners, including mortgage banking companies, various types of banks (savings and loan associations, savings banks, commercial banks, community banks), credit unions, insurance companies, private mortgage originators, and state and local housing finance agencies.
Company Valuation
Based on key historical and expected multiples, the stock is greatly undervalued relative to its peers. In particular, the stock is underpriced on P/E, 'cheap' on P/IBP.
Target Price
The average target price of FNMA is 12 and suggests 82% upside potential. Usually, this means a BUY recommendation among investment firms, or a recommendation to increase