Anuarbekov Aldiyar

Aldiyar Anuarbekov

In 2024, Israels defense exports grew 13% year over year to more than $14.7 billion / Photo: Shutterstock.com

In 2024, Israel's defense exports grew 13% year over year to more than $14.7 billion / Photo: Shutterstock.com

The escalating conflict between Israel and the U.S. and Iran is fueling demand for modern warfare defense and software systems faster than supply chains can keep up. In Israel’s equity market, this has significantly boosted defense and tech companies. On Monday, the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange’s benchmark TA-125 index rose as much as 6% intraday. On Tuesday, the index closed up 4.75%.

Structural factors such as government spending and exports are also supporting the sector. Israel’s draft 2026 budget allocates NIS112 billion (about $34 billion) for defense, up from NIS110 billion in 2025, underscoring continued aggressive modernization and procurement programs. Israeli defense exports have reached record levels. According to the Defense Ministry, exports exceeded $14.7 billion in 2024, a 13% increase year over year.

Against this backdrop, smaller suppliers of specialized components – from surveillance solutions and secure communications equipment to electronics, and software designed to counter drones – may be positioned to grow faster than the broader defense sector.

Considerations for investors

We have identified eight Israeli small caps focused on key segments of defense tech, including surveillance, secure communications, munitions, and counter-drone solutions. The investment case is less about the immediate geopolitical conflagration in Iran, and more about how quickly governments translate new security needs into orders and long-term contracts.

The bullish scenario depends on three main factors: sustained high defense spending, companies’ ability to scale production without supply disruptions, and the absence of significant regulatory or export restrictions.

At the same time, these stocks come with elevated risks. They can be highly sensitive to the news flow, while a meaningful gap between expectations and actual financial performance can develop. It is thus better suited to investors prepared for significant volatility, recognizing that geopolitical developments can both give and take away.

Below are the stocks.

NextVision 

NextVision Stabilized Systems (TASE: NXSN) manufactures micro-stabilized cameras and optical systems used in drones and ground platforms for reconnaissance and high-precision data transmission. In January, the company said it had received a purchase order worth about $60 million for cameras and related products, with deliveries scheduled through the end of 2029.

The main driver over the next 6-12 months for the name is the rapid expansion of UAV fleets and the modernization of surveillance systems, where imaging modules such as those produced by NextVision often become supply-chain bottlenecks. The key risks are a high valuation and sensitivity to growth in new orders – any slowdown could quickly deflate investor expectations. Since the beginning of the year, NextVision shares have gained about 87%. On Monday, the stock rose 15.3%. Jefferies and Freedom Broker both maintain “buy” ratings on NextVision, though their target prices of NIS285 and NIS183 per share, respectively, remain below the current share price of about NIS394.

Aryt 

Aryt Industries (TASE: ARYT) operates in the electronic fuzes and ammunition components segment through its subsidiary Reshef Technologies, which develops and manufactures advanced electronic fuzes used in artillery shells, tank rounds, mortars, rockets, and loitering munitions. Reshef is a primary supplier of these systems to the Israel Defense Forces.

Investors generally view the company as a beneficiary of the global munitions cycle, though the stock remains sensitive to the news flow and regulatory developments. One notable risk relates to corporate governance: in February, the Israel Securities Authority raided Aryt and Reshef offices as part of a probe into suspected insider trading. Aryt shares have risen about 38% since the beginning of the year. The company currently has no analyst coverage.

Gilat 

Gilat Satellite Networks (Nasdaq: GILT) develops satellite communications equipment and end-to-end connectivity solutions for both commercial and defense applications, from mobile terminals to integrated network infrastructure. The company specializes in ground-segment satellite technology and turnkey connectivity systems used by government, defense, aviation, and mobility customers. Gilat has pointed to rising demand from defense clients, in-flight connectivity providers, and next-generation multi-orbit satellite networks as key growth drivers.

Risks include competition from large global suppliers and cost pressures in individual contracts. Gilat shares are listed on both the Nasdaq and the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange, broadening the investor base but also increasing sensitivity to global market sentiment. Year to date, Gilat shares in the U.S. have gained about 30%. Freedom Broker recently put out a trade idea recommending the stock as a "buy" on a two-month horizon, saying the price could rise to $19 per share, implying upside of about 12.4% from the Tuesday close. Needham maintains a “buy” rating at a $20 per share target price, while William Blair rates the shares “above market” without a price target.

TAT Technologies 

TAT Technologies (Nasdaq: TATT) operates at the intersection of aviation and defense, manufacturing aircraft components and assemblies while also providing maintenance, repair, and overhaul services for critical systems. The business is supported by high utilization of aviation infrastructure and growing demand for equipment servicing amid heightened readiness requirements as part of military and government programs.

In August, the company announced a three-year contract to service the Boeing 777 with expected revenue of about $12 million, highlighting its expanding presence in international markets. In January, it secured another three-year deal to provide landing-gear maintenance for a major U.S. commercial airline valued at about $14 million, with an option to extend, further improving revenue visibility in TAT's servicing segment.

The main risk for the name stems from the cyclical nature of the aviation industry: when air-traffic numbers and volumes decline, demand for maintenance may soften. At the same time, the company continues to expand internationally, particularly in the U.S., where its primary repair facilities are located. Year to date, TAT shares have gained about 25%. Truist, Lake Street, and Benchmark maintain “buy” ratings with target prices of $58-61 per share. JonesTrading assigns a target price of $50 per share, Stifel sets a $47 per share target, while Freedom Broker maintains a “hold” rating at a $43 per share target price. The stock is currently trading at about $56.80 per share.

Orbit 

Orbit Technologies (TASE: ORBI) develops satellite communications systems for mobile platforms including aviation, maritime, and land vehicles. The main near-term catalyst is a deal with Kratos Defense & Security Solutions to acquire the company for $356.3 million, which is expected to close by the end of March. Until such deals are finalized, the stocks typically trade close to the announced acquisition price. In late February, Kratos announced a capital raise about $1.2 billion, part of which proceeds would be used to finance the purchase of Orbit Communications Systems. This reduces the risk of disruption to the deal due to financing issues, with the timing of closing and regulatory approvals remaining the main uncertainty.

The transaction with a U.S. defense contractor underscores the strategic value of niche satellite communications technologies. Year to date, Orbit shares have risen about 2.4%. There is currently no analyst coverage.

Mobilicom

Mobilicom (Nasdaq: MOB) develops secure communications and control systems for drones and ground robotics designed to operate in contested and interference-heavy environments. In February, the company reported a design win to integrate its systems into a new ISR drone platform and announced an initial order from an Israeli drone manufacturer with planned deployment in India. The key driver for the name is rapid adoption of drones, along with rising demand for secure communications and resilient battlefield connectivity.

The primary risks relate to the company’s relatively small scale and potential future capital needs, which could mean equity shareholder dilution. Year to date, Mobilicom shares are down about 5%, while the stock has gained roughly 144% over the last 12 months. Litchfield Hills Research maintains a “buy” rating with a target price of about $12 per share, versus a current market price of around $5.90 per share, implying significant upside but also elevated risk. The company currently has two analyst ratings, both “buy.”

Axon Vision

Axon Vision (TASE: AXN) develops computer-vision software for military platforms including those for target detection, classification, and tracking, as well as counter-UAV applications. In January, the company announced an order from Leonardo DRS worth about $350,000 for evaluation testing of its counter-UAS systems in 2026. The key catalyst for the shares is the company’s potential transition from pilot projects to large-scale deliveries. If testing proves successful, the U.S. market could represent a significantly larger opportunity than Israel’s domestic defense demands, according to the Defense Post.

According to Globes, Israel’s Ministry of Defense has already purchased dozens of Axon Vision’s EdgeUAV systems, and the company reported an additional order of about $2 million from an Israeli defense customer in 2025. The main risk lies in commercialization: despite strong technology, defense procurement cycles remain long and competition is intense. Year to date, the stock has risen about 41%, and it has more than doubled over the last three months. There is currently no analyst coverage.

ParaZero 

ParaZero Technologies (Nasdaq: PRZO) began as a developer of drone-safety systems but is now increasingly focused on DefendAir, a counter-drone platform designed for military and law-enforcement use. In February, the company reported an additional order for DefendAir from a second unit within the Israeli defense establishment, an indication of future recurring demand, according to Business Insider.

The key growth driver is the expansion of counter-drone defense programs in Israel and Europe. The primary risks for the stock stem from its micro capitalization and the resulting volatility, with pauses in orders quickly affecting the share price. Year to date, ParaZero shares have gained nearly 65%, including a 12% rise on Monday. There is currently no analyst coverage.

This material does not constitute individualized investment advice.

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