Risk factor
Strong & resilient to price shocks
Profitability factor
Slightly undervalued vs peers
About
Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spółka Akcyjna, a prominent energy conglomerate established in 1999 and headquartered in Płock, Poland, engages in a comprehensive array of activities spanning the crude oil value chain. Its operations, which include extraction, processing, refining, storage, and wholesale distribution, extend across numerous countries such as Poland, Germany, the Czech Republic, Lithuania, Malta, Sweden, Slovakia, Hungary, Estonia, Latvia, Canada, and China. The company's diverse business is organized into several key segments: Refining, Petrochemical, Energy, Retail, and Upstream. ORLEN offers an extensive product portfolio, including various fuels like petrol, diesel, LPG, biofuels, aviation fuels, and heating oils. Its petrochemical division manufactures aromatics such as phenol, benzene, paraxylene, and purified terephthalic acid, alongside olefins, polyolefins, plastics, glycols, and nitrogen fertilizers. Additional chemical products encompass acetone, ethylene oxide, masterbatch, advanced technical carbon black Chezacarb, caprolactam, soda lye, and sodium hypochlorite. Furthermore, it provides a wide range of lubricants, including base oils, automotive oils (for cars, motorbikes, trucks, marine, and agricultural use), industrial oils, paraffin, and solvents. Beyond its oil and chemical endeavors, ORLEN is a significant participant in the energy sector, producing, distributing, and transmitting both electricity and heat. The company boasts an impressive installed power capacity of approximately 3.4 GW and actively trades in thermal energy. Complementing its industrial operations, ORLEN maintained a substantial retail footprint with a network of 2,881 fuel stations as of December 31, 2021.
Company Valuation
Based on key historical and expected multiples, the stock is slightly undervalued relative to its peers. Specifically, the stock is 'cheap' on P/E, undervalued on EV/EBIT
Target Price
The average target price of PKN.WA is 135 and suggests 13.3% downside potential. Usually, this means a SELL recommendation among investment firms, or a recommendation to