The year 2025 abruptly reversed the dynamics of the currency market: the dollar's exchange rate against the currencies of major U.S. trading partners, which had risen by 40% between 2010 and 2024, fell sharply. The first half of the year was marked by the strongest dollar <a href="https://www.morganstanley.com/insights/articles/us-dollar-declines">depreciation</a> in half a century, down 11% since 1973. In the following months, the nominal effective exchange rate <a href="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1NxFg">recovered</a> about a quarter of the decline, while the real exchange rate <a href="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RBUSBIS">remained</a> roughly flat at the end of the first half of the year.

The dollar under Trump has suffered its strongest decline in half a century. This may not be the end 

The increase in the forecast is attributed to Trump's duties and the weak dollar, but the effect will not last long

The IMF has improved its forecast for global GDP. Why did it warn of a "bleak outlook"?

Wells Fargo & Company

Citigroup Inc.

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

JPMorgan CEO warned that uncertainty in markets remains high

"The economy has been resilient": how did the four major US banks report and what about stocks?

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

UBS Group AG

Morgan Stanley

Freedom Holdings Corp.

The current funding period for U.S. government operations expires Sept. 30

'Serious scars on the economy': what Wall Street is saying about the risks of a US shutdown

The U.S. economy grew at an annualized rate of 3.8% in the second quarter, up from the previous estimate of 3.3%, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)<a href="https://www.bea.gov/?utm_source=chatgpt.com"> reported</a>. The revised pace was the fastest since the third quarter of 2023, Reuters<a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/us-second-quarter-gdp-growth-revised-sharply-higher-2025-09-25/"> calculated</a>. Analysts surveyed by the agency had expected no change. According to the Ministry of Trade, the main drivers for GDP were a reduction in the trade deficit amid a fall in imports and growth in consumer spending and business investment.

The U.S. economy grew at its fastest pace in nearly two years. How is Wall Street reacting?

By the end of August, the average duty rate on U.S. imports had reached its highest level since the height of the Great Depression in 1933

The economy has not yet felt the impact of US duties, the OECD said. When will the effect be felt?

Broadcom Inc.

Alphabet Inc.

The three major U.S. stock indices moved sharply to the downside after hitting new records at the start of trading on September 5. After the opening of the stock exchanges, investors' optimism was linked to the prospects of Fed rate cuts amid weak employment data for August. However, as the trading session progressed, these hopes were replaced by concerns about a slowdown in the US economy and a possible recession.

The main US indices went from rising to falling after the record. What are investors afraid of?

The US authorities have improved their assessment of the country's economic growth in the second quarter, with the new result being better than what analysts had expected. The reason for positivity was the data on investment and consumer spending, as well as imports. Also this week, the US Fed's preferred inflation indicator, the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index, will be published.

Revised data on the US economy for the second quarter exceeded expectations

In the years following the U.S. election, August was becoming the worst month for stocks since February

No vacation: what awaits stocks in August - historically one of the worst months of the year?

After a <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/stock-market-today-dow-worst-day-economic-data-consumer-sentiment-2025-2">long</a> decline at the end of winter and a collapse in April, the market has not only recovered its losses but also entered the plus side: since the beginning of the year, the S&amp;P 500 <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.SPX">has gained</a> more than 6%. The rally with small breaks has been going on for the second month, since April this year;

Fear no more: what "red flags" investors ignore

These events are hard to predict, but you can prepare for them

Risks beyond recession and inflation: what could be the new "black swan" on Wall Street

Compass Diversified

Porch Group, Inc.

Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.

The main small-cap index, the Russell 2000, extended its streak of positive weeks last week. Overall, however, earnings season has been a disappointment for investors. Here’s our recap of what happened in the small-cap space last week, May 5-9, and preview of what to expect this week.

USA Economy