Nasdaq futures are down more than 2.5% as investors flee risk: online

Global stock markets are falling due to a sell-off in the technology sector. Investors are once again questioning whether the major IT companies’ massive investments in artificial intelligence will pay off. We’re tracking market developments in this live feed.

15:31 CET: The market opened without any surprises:

15:25 CET: The pullback in “Magnificent Seven” stocks presents a good opportunity for investors, given that short-term trends in the U.S. stock market remain “bullish,” said Mark Newton, head of technical strategy at Fundstrat.

“Right now, it makes more sense to look for signs of a return to outperformance than to bet on a further decline in these stocks,” the strategist believes. At the same time, Newton predicts that a stabilization in the prices of the “Magnificent Seven” would be an important positive factor for the entire market, especially if oil prices, bond yields, and the dollar exchange rate continue to fall at the same time.

15:10 CET: The market capitalization of the Nasdaq 100 index could shrink by $1 trillion as a result of the sell-off in tech stocks, Barron's reports, citing data from Dow Jones Market Data.

14:36 CET: Leading the decline today are stocks that had previously been among the top performers due to investor interest in artificial intelligence. The WSJ divides them into three groups:

14:24 CET: Investors ignored a statement by Donald Trump, who wrote on the social media platform Truth Social that U.S. negotiations with Iran are “going well.” Stocks are still trading lower in premarket trading: S&P 500 futures are down 1.3%, and Nasdaq futures are down 2.7%.

14:02 CET: “Any comparisons [between the current market situation and the bubbles] of 1999–2000 are, in our view, completely misplaced,” says Daniel Morris, chief market strategist at BNP Paribas Asset Management (quoted in The Wall Street Journal). According to the analyst, tech companies are largely meeting expectations for earnings growth, which is ultimately driven by real demand for AI services and, by all accounts, remains grounded in reality.

"The current sell-off is 'a form of profit-taking, but we still view the medium-term outlook [for technology companies] as very positive,'" Morris added.

13:55 CET: IBM shares remain one of the few “bright spots” amid today’s technical sell-off in the market, as noted by CNBC: they rose by just over 4% in premarket trading. JPMorgan analysts have upgraded IBM’s rating to “Overweight” (“above market”). In their view, software development will continue to drive the company’s strong financial performance.

13:47 CET: “We may not like it,” but investors’ current behavior is healthy, said Mark Dauding, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income at RBC BlueBay Asset Management, in an interview with Bloomberg TV. Some of the recent moves in the stock market, in his view, “were distinctly speculative in nature, fueled by retail investors’ pursuit of short-term gains,” which they are now locking in.

1:30 p.m. CET: What's happening in the markets two hours before the U.S. markets open?

— Nasdaq 100 technology futures are down 2.75%;

— S&P 500 futures are down 1.34%;

— The Dow Jones Blue Chip Index is down 0.5%.

European stocks continue to fall: the Stoxx 600 is down 0.93%, the French CAC 40 is down 0.74%, and the German DAX is down 1.13%.

The VIX volatility index, also known as the “Wall Street fear index,” jumped by nearly 15%, approaching the psychological threshold of 20 points, which indicates heightened market volatility.

13:10 CET: “Whatever the immediate cause [of the current sell-off in tech stocks] may be, there is a growing sense that the market has ignored nearly all negative developments related to AI investments over the past few weeks,” — wrote Rich Privorotsky, a strategist in Goldman Sachs’ global banking and markets division, in a research note on June 23 (quoted by MarketWatch).

According to the analyst, the AI market has been “stretching like a rubber band”—and now the only question is “how much further this rubber band can stretch.” “If cutting-edge AI models are increasingly being developed in the East at significantly lower costs than in the West, <…> then the largest capital allocators are also the ones most exposed to the risk of overinvestment,” according to a Goldman Sachs strategist.

12:40 CET: The Nasdaq 100 index is more than 30% above its late-March levels, according to Bloomberg. Some investors believe the sell-off will be short-lived.

"A market decline, even amid high volatility, is a good thing: it creates entry points for other investors," said David Kruk, head of the trading division at La Financière de l'Échiquier.

12:18 CET: It’s still too early for investors to leave the “tech party,” wrote Chris Konstantinos, a strategist at RiverFront Investment Group, in a note to clients last week. He said he is maintaining an overweight position in the tech sector in his portfolio, according to Business Insider.

Konstantinos identified the discrepancy between companies’ reported earnings before taxes and interest and their free cash flow as the main warning sign—it was precisely this discrepancy that served as an early indicator of the crash in 2000. Today, these metrics are moving in tandem, which indicates that reported earnings are backed by real cash, the strategist believes. “As long as this correlation does not reverse, we believe that fundamental indicators support maintaining positions in mega-cap technology stocks with high free cash flow,” he concludes.

12:05 CET: U.S. Treasury yields are falling. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds fell by more than 2 basis points to 4.481%, while the yield on 2-year bonds fell by more than 4 basis points to 4.190%. Yields on 30-year bonds also fell by about 1 basis point to 4.937%. This was triggered by concerns that the Fed, under the leadership of Kevin Warsh, might raise interest rates, which sparked a sell-off in the technology sector, according to CNBC.

11:42 CET: What's happening with the "Magnificent Seven" in New York's pre-market? All stocks are falling except for one:

11:30 CET: SpaceX stock futures are falling for the fourth consecutive day. Yesterday, they plummeted by more than 16%, wiping $400 billion off the company’s market capitalization. This is the largest single-day drop in market capitalization since Nvidia’s stock crash in January 2025, triggered by the release of the Chinese neural network Deepseek, according to the Financial Times.

“Everyone who wanted to buy SpaceX shares did so in the first few days after the IPO, and it seems that phase is largely over,” said Mike O’Rourke, a strategist at Jones Trading.

11:11 CET: A speed barrier looms over AI stock trading, said tech investor Dan Niles, founder of Niles Investment Management, in an interview with CNBC released yesterday. According to him, just a few months ago, companies were racing to ramp up their AI usage, encouraging employees to generate as many tokens as possible; but now, faced with rising costs, companies are shifting to cost-saving mode and realizing that it’s impossible to burn through their entire annual AI budget in just a few months. To finance the AI race, tech giants are forced to actively raise debt and equity financing. SpaceX, which recently went public, is issuing $20 billion in bonds.

According to Niles, he is reducing the proportion of “Magnificent Seven” stocks in his portfolio. The investor noted that the ultimate beneficiaries of all these massive AI investments are chipmakers—but he has also decided to reduce their share in his portfolio following a sharp rise in their stock prices.

10:57 CET: “Former market leaders appear to be losing ground. Investors are shifting into more defensive sectors that are less tied to AI and capable of generating more predictable cash flows,” wrote Chris Weston, head of the analytics division at Pepperstone, on social media platform X.

10:54 CET: The sell-off was triggered by doubts about whether tech giants—particularly Alphabet—will be able to justify their massive spending on AI infrastructure, according to Bloomberg. “This is a useful reminder that we’re still dealing with cyclical, market-driven businesses,” says Amanda Lyons, head of research at Energy Group Capital.

The market’s attention will now turn to Micron Technology’s quarterly earnings report, which is set to be released on Wednesday. The company’s stock has been the top performer in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index since the start of the year, rising more than 300% since January. According to Lyons, key indicators for investors will include price trends, as well as any changes in forecasts for capital expenditures and memory chip shipments.

10:43 CET: Nasdaq 100 tech futures are down 2.7%, while S&P 500 broad-market index futures are down 1.5%. There are just under five hours left until the main session opens in New York.

In Asia, where trading has already closed, South Korea’s Kospi index led the decline, plummeting nearly 10%. Shares of memory giants SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics plummeted by about 13%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 index fell 3.6%, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index dropped 1.8%.

The European Stoxx 600 index is down 1.2%. The Stoxx 600 Technology index is down 3.2%, outperforming other sectors. Shares of semiconductor equipment maker ASML in Amsterdam are down 5.4%, while shares of chipmaker STMicroelectronics in Paris are falling by more than 7.5%.

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This article was AI-translated and verified by a human editor