The Bloomberg Dollar Index fell 0.7% in trading on January 27, reaching its lowest level since March 2022. The world's main reserve currency is depreciating for the fourth day in a row, demonstrating the worst week since Ma, notes Bloomberg.

The dollar has fallen to its lowest level in almost four years. What is devaluing the currency?

On January 26, the dollar fell to a four-month low, gold and silver broke records and traded at the time of publication around $5130 and $112 per ounce, respectively. Moreover, silver is rising in price faster than gold. The dramatic rise in the prices of protective assets is considered a market fear indicator - investors react to geopolitical shocks. Alexey Basov, head of investment bank BSF Partners, writes in his Telegram channel <a href="https://web.telegram.org/k/#@basovalexey">"Investments of the highnet"</a> why it may be too late to enter this rally.

Dollar collapse, rising gold and silver prices and late entry risks

The dollar on January 26 on the world currency markets fell to its lowest level in four months. The U.S. dollar index, which tracks its dynamics against six world currencies, fell by 0.6% to 97.02.

The dollar is at a four-month low. What is putting pressure on the currency?

Over the last month, the yuan exchange rate showed the best dynamics among Asian currencies

Chinese bank customers converted a record amount of foreign currency into yuan

Traders are willing to bet against the dollar amid increased risks of White House pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates

Trump's pressure on the Fed has collapsed the dollar. Gold and silver have record highs

ASML Holding N.V.

SAP SE

SoftBank Group Corp.

The technology sector in Europe and Asia was also pressured by weak sales and earnings figures from US-based Oracle

Equity and cryptocurrency markets declined amid disagreement at the Fed on the rate trajectory

ING investment bank admits yuan strengthening to seven per dollar in 2026

China has signaled the strongest signal since 2022 of its intention to contain yuan appreciation

Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft

Citigroup Inc.

Standard Bank Group Limited

Analysts at Deutsche Bank and Standard Bank have warned of a possible "triple blow" to the dollar in the coming weeks, which could exacerbate an already seasonally weak period for the U.S. currency. However, Citigroup strategists, on the contrary, advise investors in emerging markets to prepare for dollar strengthening: negative trends for the currency have receded in the middle of 2025, they believe.

Deutsche and Standard warned of a weak month for the dollar. Citi disagrees with them


The probability of a Fed rate cut in December has risen to nearly 90% and fundamentals point to further weakening of the U.S. currency

The dollar is on its way to its worst week since July. What's weighing on the exchange rate?

The year 2025 abruptly reversed the dynamics of the currency market: the dollar's exchange rate against the currencies of major U.S. trading partners, which had risen by 40% between 2010 and 2024, fell sharply. The first half of the year was marked by the strongest dollar <a href="https://www.morganstanley.com/insights/articles/us-dollar-declines">depreciation</a> in half a century, down 11% since 1973. In the following months, the nominal effective exchange rate <a href="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1NxFg">recovered</a> about a quarter of the decline, while the real exchange rate <a href="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RBUSBIS">remained</a> roughly flat at the end of the first half of the year.

The dollar under Trump has suffered its strongest decline in half a century. This may not be the end 

The high concentration of global capital in U.S. equities has performed well over the past 15 years, but in the current environment it has become a source of risk, RBC said

RBC: the dollar may repeat the dot-com cycle with a 40% collapse. How to protect capital?

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.

NVIDIA Corporation

Samsung shares hit an all-time high amid hype around artificial intelligence. SoftBank is increasing multi-billion dollar investments in OpenAI and robotics. China is tightening control over semiconductor imports and restricting purchases of Nvidia products. These and other topics - in our review of key events for the morning of October 10.

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