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Big Tech stocks have diverged in 2026. How to pick among the Magnificent Seven.

Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla once tended to rise and fall together. Now their performance is increasingly diverging.

Vladislav Osipov

Vladislav Osipov

Apple leads the Magnificent Seven with a 28% gain year to date / Photo: Savvapanf Photo / Shutterstock.com

Apple leads the Magnificent Seven with a 28% gain year to date / Photo: Savvapanf Photo / Shutterstock.com

The Magnificent Seven stocks no longer move in lockstep, CNBC reports. The upshot is that investors now need to be much more selective about which of the market’s biggest companies they own, rather than treating the group as a single trade.

Divergence in the Magnificent Seven

Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla once tended to rise and fall together. Now their performance is increasingly diverging. CNBC compared daily stock returns for all 21 unique pairs within the Magnificent Seven over rolling 60-day periods. The average correlation recently fell to its lowest level in more than a decade.

The divergence does not point to deteriorating company fundamentals, CNBC stresses. Wall Street remains broadly upbeat on each stock. According to LSEG data, 58% of analysts have a “buy” or “strong buy” rating on Apple. That figure reaches an impressive 97% for Amazon, 92% for Alphabet, 97% for Microsoft, 89% for Meta, 97% for Nvidia, and 50% for Tesla.

What does it mean?

The tech giants “all have different exposures to AI,” points out D.A. Davidson analyst Gil Luria. “This requires a much more granular approach to which of the largest mega-caps an investor wants to own as opposed to just owning them wholesale,” he added.

The divergence has left the group as a whole trailing the broader market. The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF is up 7% year to date, while the S&P 500 has risen more than 12%. Tesla and Meta are the only Magnificent Seven stocks in negative territory since the start of the year. Meanwhile, only Nvidia and Apple have outperformed the S&P 500.

The growing divergence reflects investors’ increasing focus on each company’s “independent fundamental growth drivers,” according to Thomas DiFazio, ETF strategist at Roundhill Investments. “They have varying levels of success, when you put them in the totem pole of AI winners and losers,” he told CNBC. He added that “investors are focusing on the micro factors,” including company-specific news that offers clues about whether a business can thrive in the AI era.

“These are the best stocks to still be in, but they’re starting to kind of separate and go in their own direction,” argues Jay Woods, chief market strategist at Freedom Capital Markets.

The state of play for each Magnificent Seven stock

Each Magnificent Seven company now has its own growth drivers and risks. Analysts examined what is moving the seven tech giants’ stocks and what investors should watch.

Apple: The firm illustrates how investors’ views of companies’ participation in the AI race have changed, CNBC notes. Investors previously punished the iPhone maker for its reluctance to ramp up AI capex. Now the market is rewarding that restraint.

Apple stock is rising despite the broader market selloff / Photo: i viewfinder / Shutterstock

Apple performing like a safe haven amid AI spending fears, volatility

In 2025, Apple was the second-worst performer in the Magnificent Seven, gaining just 8.9%. Amazon ranked last with a 5.2% gain, while Alphabet led the group with a 65.8% advance. In 2026, however, Apple has taken the lead with a 28% gain.

“The one stock that got criticized the most over the last two years about not having an AI strategy is now the leader of this cohort, and that is Apple,” Woods said. “They’re continuing to hit on what they do best, which is the products and the App Store,” he added. He described Apple as the “consistent tortoise of this race.” Woods also called the company a “technology utility” and a “consumer staple,” since its devices and services are deeply embedded in everyday life. Luria, meanwhile, described Apple as “the place to hide from the AI trade.”

Nvidia: The chipmaker has been volatile amid concerns about the durability of chip demand and potential capex cuts by companies developing AI. The stock peaked on October 6 but has since fallen more than 13%. Still, Woods described its valuation as “relatively [and] historically cheap.” He sees the stock in a “digestion phase” following its earlier gains. The strategist remains positive on Nvidia’s outlook, pointing to continued demand for its chips.

Alphabet: The stock’s technical picture has weakened following its March-May rally, according to Woods. That puts greater weight on the company’s quarterly results and the management’s guidance, due after U.S. markets close on Wednesday. While Google’s search business remains a strength for Alphabet, Woods is watching competition from other AI platforms and whether the stock can regain sustained upward momentum.

Amazon: The business has been “slow and steady,” according to Woods, but the stock has lacked a consistent trend. “It’s not doing poorly; it’s not doing great. It’s just there,” the strategist said. Amazon stock has gained around 3% over the last month but lost 2% over the last six months. The key for Amazon is its cloud business, Amazon Web Services (AWS), which generates most of the company’s profit. AWS revenue rose 37% year over year in the second quarter. While that is solid growth, it trails competitors: Microsoft Azure revenue increased 43% year over year last quarter, while Google Cloud revenue jumped 82%.

Meta: The stock surged in September amid excitement about Meta's new Muse personal AI assistant, which posted strong download numbers on the App Store and Google Play. Roundhill Investments strategist Thomas DiFazio noted that investors are particularly interested in how Muse’s growing popularity could translate into revenue and profit. The new consumer app may already have helped the stock’s performance, he said.

But after the Facebook and Instagram parent reported negative free cash flow and the management raised the lower end of its full-year capex guidance, the stock turned lower. Investors worry that attractive returns on its massive capital investments could take longer to materialize than expected, CNBC writes.

Photo: Shutterstock.com / Poetra.RH

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Microsoft: The software and cloud giant has recovered from an earlier wave of fears that AI would disrupt its software business. Now, however, the stock faces an important technical test, according to Woods: breaking through the $530-550 per share range. Selling pressure could prevent further gains, he said.

DiFazio identified Azure as Microsoft’s key growth driver that investors are watching. The company’s quarterly results and the management’s guidance, due Wednesday evening, could determine whether the stock can break above $550 per share. In Wednesday’s trading, it fell to $527 per share.

Analysts predict that Microsofts adjusted earnings will rise 14% year-over-year in the first fiscal quarter / Photo: ArDanMe/Shutterstock

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Tesla: Discussing the Magnificent Seven, Woods said Tesla “has been left in the dust” by the rest of the group. Its investment case increasingly rests on opportunities outside of electric vehicles, including robotics, he said. Luria is also skeptical about Tesla’s inclusion in the Magnificent Seven. He argues that the company’s valuation carries an “Elon premium.”

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