How can strengthening the exchange rate of the national currency by non-market methods, for example, by limiting currency trading and increasing the Central Bank rate, lead to the emergence of a black currency market and then to political and economic problems? Analyst of Arbat Capital Advisory Services Limited (UK) Alexey Golubovich analyzed this on the example of countries with tight monetary policy and currency control.

Currency Trap: What lessons can be learned from the monetary policies of Iran and Venezuela

Despite the growth of the U.S. economy, market participants continue to bet on the weakening of the U.S. currency

The dollar is approaching its worst year since 2017. Why is the market betting against it?

ING investment bank admits yuan strengthening to seven per dollar in 2026

China has signaled the strongest signal since 2022 of its intention to contain yuan appreciation

Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft

Citigroup Inc.

Standard Bank Group Limited

Analysts at Deutsche Bank and Standard Bank have warned of a possible "triple blow" to the dollar in the coming weeks, which could exacerbate an already seasonally weak period for the U.S. currency. However, Citigroup strategists, on the contrary, advise investors in emerging markets to prepare for dollar strengthening: negative trends for the currency have receded in the middle of 2025, they believe.

Deutsche and Standard warned of a weak month for the dollar. Citi disagrees with them

The market is skeptical about the UK government's chances of closing the budget hole without harming the economy

Traders bet against the British pound ahead of the presentation of the country's draft budget

A weaker currency makes U.S. exports more competitive, which is good for stocks